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The final stage of this years Tour de France is upon us and what a tour it has been. This years winner Chris Froome, has been as dominate as any for many years picking up 3 stage wins along the way. The world of cycling was introduced to Colombian climbing sensation Nairo Quintana and doesn't he look exciting! This weeks punt had an up and down tour with many of the favourites being upset, especially in the sprints. Tonight's stage will only go one way though.

Mark Cavendish has never lost the final stage of a Tour de France and this looks no different. Maybe finishing under lights could make him feel less comfortable as years gone by however he will still be too quick for anyone here @ $1.85 and for our final value bet of this years race lets go with Matthew Goss to finish off a dream Tour for Orica-Greenedge with the final stage win @ $41.00.

Make sure you keep checking back into www.thisweekspunt.com for future cycling betting and analysis.

 

Stage 18

07/18/2013

0 Comments

 
Only 4 stages left in this year’s tour and tonights should be something special. Travelling up the mythical mountain Alp d’huez not once but twice. With some incredibly high gradients and 21 sharp turns this is not for the feint hearted and any rider having a bad day could lose many minutes. Chris Froome still looks the strongest of the riders however the past two nights have shown Alberto Contador is hitting form and this is a stage he will definitely try and take some time off the yellow jersey.

Froome is the strong favourite and would love to win this stage so obviously @ $3.50 he deserves to be the favourite, while Nairo Quintana has come close twice so lets hope tonight he can go up one step on the podium and win this stage he is $4.50 to win.
 
 
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With only a week to go in the 100th Tour de France it looks as though Chris Froome has all but wrapped it up. Only slight hope for Contador and Quintana with some big mountains still to come but it all starts tonight with a downhill finish which Saxo-Tinkoff may make a move to try and jag back some seconds for Alberto Contador. Bauke Mollema is another who will give himself some hope of taking a few seconds as well and he is riding well within himself in this years tour. One for the hill specialists and Michael Albasini has show he is in great form for this tour and @ $26 he is our pick for tonights stage. Mollema will have a red hot go as well and is our value pick tonight @ $101


 
 
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With only 2 short TT in this years Tour it will be critical for
Yellow Jersey leader Chris Froome to take as much time tonight as possible. For the less talented TT riders they will want to limit time losses and stay in touch with the Team SKY captain.




Tony Martin is easily the best Time Trial rider in the world however a crash in the earlier stages has him trying to get some fitness back. Even still he is 2 minutes better than any rider in this race so the $1.40 looks the easiest bet of the whole tour.

For each way and value punters Michael Kwiatkowski has had a fantastic start to his first tour and
presents nice value @ $19 as well.

 
 
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After the first 2 stages in the mountains the GC is starting to
settle down and with Chris Froome in the yellow jersey he is going to have to defend it all the way into Paris. Not only did he break all contenders Saturday night but  Froome actually sent his domestique Richie Porte into the red and he lost an amazing 18 minutes the next night.


Before we head back to the mountains the Sprinters come backout and with a very flat stage expect the usual, a large breakaway that gets brought back before Cavendish, Greipel, Sagan and Goss fight it out for the stage win. With not many more chances for Cav to grab more wins look for him
to grab this one and give Peter Sagan, the man in green, something to think about over the next week and a half. Mark Cavendish @ $1.85 and for some value look to the Aussie outfit landing Matt Goss in a nice spot for the line @ $41.

 
 

Preview

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8 days into the tour and into the mountains we go. This is where the fun starts and this year the first HC climb is the highest point of the tour. Following the first climb is a very sharp decline which will be an area which Evans, Contador and Quintana will feel they could grab time on team SKY before another sharp climb to the finish.

There will be casualties tonight and my prediction is Nairo Quintana will show everyone why he is a danger for the overall win. Quintana is $15 and for abit of value look no further than one of the quickest men going downhill in Bauke Mollema @ $41.

Betting

Nairo Quintana @ $15
Bauke Mollema @ $41
 
 
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What an amazing few days for Australia at the Tour de France. Following Simon Gerrans courageous victory to take stage 3 he pulled on the yellow jersey after Orica-Greenedge huge win in the team time trial. Now the Jersey should be on the shoulders of Gerrans for another few stages with the sprinters and puncheurs come out to play.



Cavendish showed just how fast he is yesterday and now he may go on a run of stage victories. $1.70 is incredible money for a bloke who doesnt lose head to head. Cant see anyone getting over him on what is a fairly flat stage.

BEST BET
Mark Cavendish $1.70


 
 

This is definitely a stage to stay up for. A couple of steep climbs today which should have the peloton scattered for the finish. Peter Sagan is a short priced favourite but i am willing to lay him considering the descent should keep any break over the final climb so the puncheurs looking for stage wins will be right in it today.

Tommy Voeckler will be looking to add to his yellow jersey collection today and will be a really good chance @ $17.00. Following on from his good form yesterday Michael Kwiiatkowski will be close again and is also good value @ $26.00

 
 
Absolute chaos at the finish line of stage 1 ended with Marcel Kittel taking both the stage and the yellow jersey. Mark Cavendish didn't get the opportunity to take on the sprint and slowly rode in with many other big name riders caught up in a crash just before the finish line. Tonights stage is an intriguing one with a couple of decent climbs.  Following yesterdays mass crash the sprinters will be staying in as long as they can for a possible showdown over the final few hundred metres.

Peter Sagan should step up today and he is our best bet @ $2.75 while some slight value could be amongst breakaway that somehow stays away so lets say Simon Gerrans who @ $29 is as good chance as any in a beakaway.
 
 

Betting

The 2013 Tour begins in beautiful Corsica and the biggest prize for today is the yellow jersey. With an almost flat stage this one will be a dogfight by the sprinters and easily the best of the lot is Mark Cavendish. This bloke just wins today's stage so load up

Best Bet - Mark Cavendish @ $1.80***
Best Outsider - John Degenkolb @ $51