Souths v Manly

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This Friday night South Sydney hosts Manly for a spot in the 2013 NRL Grand Final, Ironically these 2 sides were the losing sides from last year’s preliminary finals so one of them will be guaranteed to go a step further this season. Last week Manly played Cronulla in a very physical battle where Manly were only just able to hang on as Cronulla fought right up until the finals seconds while South Sydney waited with a week off.

South Sydney in 2013 defeated Manly on 2 occasions, both games were tight and decided by less than 12 points and you would expect a similar result this time around. Souths have been the only side all year not to feature outside the top 2 and I get the feeling as good as Manly have been all year they have had some very physical games over the last month Anthony Watmough, Brett Stewart, Jamie Lyon, Steve Matai and Brent Kite are all carrying injuries and are far from 100% no doubt they will all play this weekend but the way South Sydney belted Melbourne up the middle a fortnight ago a repeat here will see them put away one the best sides of the last 8 years and qualify for their 1st Grand final in over 40 years.

My tip in this one will be South Sydney, they are fresh & I believe the battle of the fullback will be the ultimate game breaker as Greg Inglis will make a stamp on this year finals series against the team he claimed the Clive Churchill medal against back in 2007. Inglis has scored on both occasions against Manly this year and will be the big difference in this clash as Manly’s fullback Brett Stewart hasn’t played in the last month and if he plays this week it's hard to see him performing at his best.

Best Bets
South Sydney H2H $1.40
Greg Inglis Try anytime $2.10

Value Bets
South Sydney -6.5 $1.90
Man of the Match:
Greg Inglis $5.50, Sam Burgess $8, Adam Reynolds $9

Roosters v Knights

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The 2nd Preliminary Final will see the minor premiers Sydney Roosters take on the Newcastle Knights, Last weekend saw the Knights cause the upset of the finals series and quit possibly the season as they defeated last year’s premiers the Storm in Melbourne an achievement they had not done for over 9 seasons, while the Roosters enjoyed the week off.

The Roosters have been the best defensive side all year and thoroughly deserve to be where they are at this point of the season under rookie coach Trent Robinson. They’ve exceeded all expectations in 2013 but I believe if Roosters are going to win this game it will come down to their biggest off season buy in Sonny Bill Williams as I believe the Knights are very evenly matched in every other contests across the park and are far better in the 3 quarters with Joey Leilua who will be out to impress against the team that sacked him at the start of the season and Dane Gagai racking up again well over 160 meters each last week while there halves are playing in great footy especially Tyrone Roberts, who over the last month has come of age with the Knights experienced forwards in Mason, Scott, Smith and Buderus they have beaten two great packs over the last fortnight in last year’s Grand Finalist Melbourne and Canterbury.

Coach Wayne Bennett has won 7 of 9 Grand Final Qualifiers to add to his impressive final record of over 55% and having knocked out Hasler and Bellamy from the premiership race over the last two weeks, which leaves him as the only coach left in the Competition who has in fact won a preliminary final. The Knight also outweigh the Roosters with final experience boasting six Premiership Players to two & are riding the wave emotion to send Club Legend Danny Buderus out with a premiership something Wayne Bennett also knows a lot about having guided The Shane Webcke lead Broncos back in 2006.

Most Bookies and Punters will once again be tipping against the Knights and expect the Roosters to win and win well but with Bennett’s Finals experience and the Fans getting right behind their team as I haven’t witnessed such support for an opposition team in Melbourne in all my life I think this fairytale Journey can continue for Newcastle in a very close game.

Best Bets
Newcastle +9.5 $1.90

Value Bets
Newcastle 1-12 - $4.50
Joey Leilua Try at anytime $3, $15 as 1st try scorer
Player of the Match:
Sonny Bill Williams $5.50, Tyrone Roberts $15, Beau Scott $31


The Multi

Greg Inglis Try
Newcastle +9.5
Total = $5
 
 
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1ST Semi Final     4.Manly Sea Eagles vs 5.Cronulla Sharks
This Friday Manly play Cronulla in the first sudden death semi final where the winner will go onto play the South Sydney Rabbitohs for a spot in this year’s Grand final.

Both these teams played in thrilling finals last Saturday with Manly going down to the Roosters 4-0 in one of the most exhausting games of football in recent memory while the Cronulla Sharks survived a last minute comeback from the Cowboys in a game which had everything! Many pundits saying the Sharks were lucky to come through that week which I tend to agree with.

This year Manly and Cronulla meet on one occasion back in round six. Manly defeated the sharks 25-18 in a game that did not feature Todd Carney who again looks almost certain to miss this clash with a debilitating hamstring injury.

Luke Lewis has been named at 5/8 which will no doubt make them a better side defensively but Manly showed last week that not even the Roosters with some of the great attacking players they possess could score more than one try from a kick. So big question is will the Sharks have the points in them without their number one attacking weapon Todd Carney to match up against Manly who possess some of the best attacking players in the game in Halves Foran & Cherry-Evans Lock Glenn Stewart and strike centres Jamie Lyon and Steve Matai.

Cronulla have been up against the odds all year between the on going ASADA investigations injuries to key players they have fought on gallantly week in week out and have built a very strong football team with a great club culture. They are a top four side of the future however for me it’s hard to go past anything but a Manly victory they have the experience they are battle hardened after last week and just have far too much class in the key positions which will see them move on and face South Sydney Next week. Expect a tight game early however Manly to run away with it late.

Best Bets
Manly – 9.5 $1.80

Value Bets
Manly 13+ $2.10
Player of the Match Jamie Lyon $9.00

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2nd Semi Final 3.Melbourne Storm vs 7.Newcastle Knights
Saturday Night Melbourne will host the Newcastle Knights with the winner going on to play minor premiers the Sydney Roosters for a spot in this year’s Grand Final.

Last week Melbourne were defeated by South Sydney in what was a slow grinding affair where Melbourne once again started poorly and had to fight their way back into the game, surprisingly Melbourne have not scored the first try in their last five games something they would want to rectify this week against a side full of confidence in the Newcastle Knights. The Knights overcame a sin binning early to take down the Bulldogs 22-6 in a very finals like performance.

Recent record shows since Wayne Bennett has taken over at the knights he is 0 from 3 against Melbourne but more importantly they have all been close games decided by 13 12 and 2 points with both times this season the Knights lead both games at Halftime including a controversial call up in Newcastle where the referee didn’t send Cooper Conk off for blatant foul play no doubt cost the knights victory on that occasion.

No doubt most punters and the bookies have Melbourne listed as red hot favorites’ and with the big three in Smith Slater & Cronk you can’t really go against them. For me If Newcastle can capitalize on Storm’s poor recent starts to games and utilize their back line which I think is slowly becoming on the best in the competition they can really trouble Melbourne. BJ Lealuia has scored first try against Melbourne in both games this year and three over all against them, he and Dane Gagai on the edges are the key to making big metres against a Melbourne edge defence which has been poor in recent weeks. There forwards lead by prodigal son Danny Buderus and born again front rower Willie Mason are experienced enough to go with Melbourne’s youth and recycled pack could cause the upset of the season. Love him or hate him Wayne Bennett has a great finals record and knows how to get his team right for the big games with Newcastle having nothing to lose all the pressure here is on his counterpart Craig Bellamy & Melbourne to continue their dominate era.

So the big question is this the end of the great Melbourne Storm era or will the Champions rise up one last time? Can Wayne Bennett lead this team from Newcastle back to the holy grail after bringing them there first finals victory in seven years last weekend and prolong the great Danny Buderus’s career one more weekend.

Expect a low scoring tight game with points at a premium.

Best Bets
B.J Leilua to score a try anytime $3.00
Either team under 6.5 $2.80

Value Bets
B.J. Leilua 1st try $13 or 1st try fo the Knights $7
Knights halftime storm fulltime $6.50
Draw at end of 80 minutes $34 (both sides played in draws this season)


The Multi

 Manly -9.5
B.J Leilua to score a try
$5.40

 
 

The games

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1st Qualifying Final
2.South Sydney Rabbitohs vs 3.Melbourne Storm
After a long 2013 season the standard of league is starting to pick up and Friday night South Sydney host Melbourne in the first game of the finals series. Both sides have come off very patchy form over the last month however with the top four being the same sides since round six (longest streak in history) you get the feeling they have been waiting for this game.

Bellamy and McGuire both have a considerable sport science knowledge and they will ensure this is a high quality game with the winner progressing to a grand final qualifier. Melbourne Storm possess a superior record over there rivals having only lost to them once in the last ten years, back in 2010 in Perth. Current Souths coach Michael McGuire still having not posted a win against his former mentor. This will be the best and closest game of the week much like back in round six where Melbourne won 17-10. The key to this battle will be the edge defence for each side, Gareth Widdop will be a query and Maurice Blair has been terrible in recent weeks however Souths have just as big problems with Dylan Walker & Nathan Merritt constantly being caught out.

Look for a Cooper Cronk cross field kick to exposure Merritt coming off his wing at some stage. As a betting proposition you can’t go past Melbourne’s big three & big game experience getting them a win here.

Best Bets
Melbourne H2H $2.00

Value Bets
Melbourne 1-12 $3.10

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1st Elimination Final
5.Cronulla Sharks vs. 8.North QLD Cowboys

The Cowboys have to travel to Sydney for the first knockout semifinal of the week however it is to Allianz stadium and not shark park for this battle. Six weeks ago the Cowboys season was over they had announced coach Neil Henry would no longer be required as coach next season and club legend Matt Bowen would retire at seasons end. Flash forward six weeks and they have won every game to make it to this point.

They are finally displaying the form which had many pundits placing them in the top four preseason. Meanwhile Cronulla have had a strong season with some great off season purchases and consistency mid-season but over the last month look like they have limped into the finals, star playmaker Todd Carney and skipper Paul Gallen haven’t played in 2-3 weeks and now there best player all season Prop Andrew Fifita is carrying an injury.

The Cowboys will take extra confidence having also beaten the sharks two weeks ago in Sydney and being led by the in form two time Dally M medalist Jonathan Thurston the cowboys will eliminate the wounded sharks from 2013 finals series.

Best Bets
Cowboys H2H $2.10

Value Bets
Wayne Ulugia 1st try $9 (has scored 4 tries in his 3 game career)

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2nd Qualifying Final
1.Sydney Roosters vs 4.Manly Sea Eagles

The red hot minor premiers the Sydney Roosters take on the most experienced finals team in the competition the Manly Sea Eagles. Last week the roosters claimed top spot off the back of an impressive display against the rabbitohs. Meanwhile Manly were well off the pace with many players rested as they were defeated by 10th place Penrith, I’d be more inclined to look at their performance a fortnight ago where they dismantled the Reigning premiers Melbourne 28-8.

The suspension of prop Jarred Waraea-Hargraves may have an effect on the Roosters as he has been a big part of their forward pack all season and the Roosters struggled mid-season when the big fella missed a month. I think Manly will win if they keep Sonny Bill Wiiliams contained as their experience in premiership halves Cherry-Evans & Foran as well as the Stewart Brothers and skipper Jamie Lyon are much better in big match experience compared to the failed NSW halves Mitchell Pearce and James Maloney.

Best Bets
Manly H2H $2.05

Value Bets
Glenn Stewart man of the match $15

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2nd Elimination Final
6.Canterbury Bulldogs vs 7.Newcastle Knights

Canterbury host Newcastle in the second elimination final, These 2 sides would have to be the most inconsistent teams in this year’s finals series as both sides had their chances all year to make the top 4 but could never string enough form together for long periods. In saying that they are coached by two of the coaches with the best records in big games in Des Hasler & Wayne Bennett and no coach outside these two & Bellamy have won the Grand Final since 2005. Newcastle did defeat the Bulldogs on two occasions this season as well as defeating Brisbane a fortnight ago the side that defeated the Bulldogs last week.

The Bulldogs over the past month have looked flat and with off field distractions to fullback Ben Barba they seem to be a side who aren’t playing for each other on the field.  I Think Newcastle have the momentum, they are playing in their first final under Wayne Bennett who has won 4 of his last 5 against Des Hasler, Danny Buderus is producing in his last season with skipper Jarrod Mullen and 2010 Clive Churchill medalist Darius Boyd in great form.  The Newcastle backline is making huge meters each week and strike centres  Lulelia and Gagai posing threats Newcastle should have enough points in them again to beat the Bulldogs for a 3rd time this season.

Best Bets
Newcastle H2H $2.50

Value Bets
Newcastle -4.5 $3.25

The Multi

Melbourne +6.5
Knights +10.5
Manly +8.5
Cowboys H2H
Total = $6.05
 
 
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South Sydney vs Sydney Roosters

Who would have thought after these two met in round one this year that 26 weeks later they would be playing off for top spot in season 2013? Both sides have been consistent throughout the season and don't be surprised if they meet again in September.


The Rabbits seem to have the edge here through the form of Issac Luke and their big men (the Burgess crew) up the middle of the field. this will be played at finals intensity and I suspect the Rabbits to be the better side in a tight contest. For the Roosters the continued absense of Luke O'Donnell and Boyd Cordner will prove to hard to overcome dispite them putting in a strong effort.

Best Bet
Rabbitohs 1-12 @ 3.10

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Penrith Panthers v Manly Sea Eagles
By the time this game rolls around Manly's fate may very well be sealed and motivation is probably the biggest determining factor here. In saying this Penrith as a side have overachieved in season 2013 and this has been through a strong attitude throughout the club and great coaching.

Expect Brett Stewart, Jamie Buhrer and Brent Kite will definately be rested this weekend however don't surprised to see more out. Manly's class may still get them over the line however 14.5 start for the Panthers looks a great bet.

Best Bet
Penrith +14.5 @$1.90

 
 
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Melbourne Storm @ Manly Sea Eagles
Two sides that are looking to fine tune their games with the finals just around the corner. Manly looked too classy for the Raiders but looked a tad worn out after their extremely physical match against the Rabbitohs the week before.

Melbourne are coming off a contested training session against the Parramatta Eels, the game was literally a joke that allowed the Storm to fine tune their attack before they start their finals campaign.

Manly seem to be trending in the wrong direction, the loss of Watmough and Taufau are the kind of losses that really make your team suffer when you need consistency at this point of the season. Take the Storm here, they are looking quite strong right now and appear to be hitting their best at the right time of the year.

Best Bets
Melbourne Storm victory @ $1.70

Value Bets
Halftime/Fulltime - Melbourne / Melbourne @ $2.30
First Try Scorer - Maurice Blair [MEL] @ $13

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Gold Coast Titans @ Sydney Roosters
The Titans are desperately trying to keep their season alive when they head down to Sydney to take on the Roosters. The Roosters have been one of the most dominant teams in the competition this year but are coming off a disappointing Monday night loss to Cronulla.


The line on this game is incredible, whilst the Roosters are at home there is no reason for the line to be 24.5 points when it's the 1st placed team against the 9th placed team. Hell the line was pretty much the same when the Storm played the Eels last weekend.

The Titans will be going down to compete and they have the ability to put points on the board, unless the Roosters can gareentee they will score 50 points in this game, it is highly unlikely the will cover the line. So take the Titans with the line here, if there's only 4-8 points in it at halftime you can easily trade out for a profit anyway.

Best Bets
Gold Coast Titans +24.5 @ $1.90

The Multi

Melbourne Win
Gold Coast Titans +24.5
Penrith +7.5
Newcastle win

Total = $13.15
 
 
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Brisbane Broncos @ Penrith Panthers
We are now entering do or die terrortory with the Broncos travelling to sydney to take on the Panthers in a game which is a must win for both teams if they want to take part of this years final series.


The Broncos are a team as of late that has been improving and looking like they are well in the hunt to play finals football. They took a hit with the loss of Justin Hodges which is a massively loss for their attacking ability as Hodges was playing a valuable centre/fullback rotational position which allowed him to roam around the field. Ben Hunt has been incredible for the Broncos since making the switch to halfback and will need to continue if they are any chance tonight.

Penrith pulled off a surprise win against the Warriors but was it really that surprising? The warriors have been playing terribly lately and showed a poor attitude when they failed to show up against the Panthers. The Panthers have been 2013's over achievers, the team doesn't have much talent but turns up to play each week and extremely well coached.

Trust the Broncos defense to win them the game here, They won't pile on the points as they don't have that in their game so expect a 16 to 12 kind of game.

Best Bet
Broncos Win @ $1.75

Value Bet
Broncos 1-12 @ $3.35
First try scorer - Josh Hoffman @ $9 and Ben Hunt @ $26


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West Tigers @ St George Dragons
Neither of these two teams have much to play for in 2013, The Tigers have all but shut up shop on Benji Marshall's rugby league career and are looking like they already have their mad Monday trip to Bali booked.

The Dragons will be without Dugan which is a cause for concern as the most of their points come from the team throwing him the ball and hoping something happens but the team hasn't thrown the towel in 2013 when it comes to their effort which tested the Broncos last Sunday.

Expect a Dragons victory here, The Tigers young outside backs will likely get a few tries but the Dragons defence should hold strong and after 60 minutes the Tigers couldn't care less about the game.

Best Bet
Dragons 1-12 @ $3.10

Value Bets
First Try Converted? - Not Converted @ $3.85
1st try scorer and 80 minute margin - Tim Simona [WST] & St George 1-12 @ $38

The Multi

The Banker
Broncos Win
Dragons Win
Raiders + 7.5
Total = $4.70

The go big or go home
Broncos 1-12
Dragons 1-12
Souths 1-12
Raiders +7.5
Total = $61.50
 
 
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St George Illawarra vs Cronulla Sharks

These two local rivals meet Saturday night in vastly different
circumstances to their normal encounters. The Dragons are done for season 2013 and only their better than Parramatta for and against will stop them from being in a wooden spoon battle. The sharks have been consistent in 2013 and generally fare well in low scoring contests and struggle against teams with potent attacks. 

St George’s best two players Josh Dugan and Trent Merrin are out for the remainder of the season which seriously limits the amount of points they can score. Merrin has provided 48 offloads this season, 20 more than his nearest team mate! Dugan meanwhile averages over 170 metres a game and has been a one man show in recent weeks. 

For the sharks Andrew Fafita has been enormous this season and is the clubs leading try scorer with seven. The player who needs to lift is Michael Gordon who has been safe however needs to be more involved through the middle section of the field. 

This is a perfect game for the Sharks who were beaten in this fixture earlier in the year, so they will be switched on mentally. The Dragons will not score more than one try and I recommend pick the score bets based around twenty to thirty points to nil.

Best bet 

Cronulla 13+ $2.10
Cronulla -22.5 $4.20



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South Sydney vs Manly Sea Eagles

Two competition heavy weights meet in Gosford in what will surely be a dress rehearsal for future classes in September. Manly have been beating up on some poor teams however confidence has been growing through those wins and key players like Glen and Brett Stewart look in great form at the key end of the season. The rabbits have been going through a low patch which is not necessarily bad timing however they need to start trending towards their mid-season form
soon. 

The return of Greg Inglis is obviously a huge boost for the rabbits however be cautious with this, Billy Slater went through the same issues last season and took a few weeks to gain full match fitness before going onto secure the premiership. Inglis is a beast but give him 2-3 weeks before full impact on games is seen again. 

Manly look the goods here, they know a top 4 scalp is required to make the rest of the competition sit up and see them as a serious threat. The loss of Sam Burgess who is the rabbit’s highest metre maker, line break merchant and tackler on average for the season will enable Manly to come out even in the middle of the field. Foran, Cherry-evans, Lyon and the rest of the Sea Eagles backline will be too hard to stop.

Best Bet Manly $1.80


 

NO BET GAME

Brisbane Broncos vs Parramatta Eels

The Broncos without Justin Hodges are an average team and lack options in attack. Parramatta travel to Brisbane where they have a fabulous record and have beaten the Broncos 19-18 in round 9 this season. The Broncos have only defeated the Gold Coast Titans in the current top 8 with horrible records against quality opponents they will not make the top 8 this year, granted Parramatta are a terrible rugby league side however with Jarryd Hayne in their side they may be able to get to 18-20 points which is always a competitive score against the Broncos. The Eels are $5.50 and worth a bet with perhaps a 6.5 start however don’t try and sneak money out of the Broncos this week!


The Multi

Cronulla 13+
Manly
Warriors
Cowboys

$5.90
 
 
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Melbourne Storm v South Sydney
This week Melbourne host South Sydney in what could be shaping as a Grand Final preview, luckily for South’s Grand Finals are not played in Melbourne with South Sydney’s record in Melbourne 0 from 10 with an average score of 36–8 and they have only beaten Melbourne 3 times in their history, the last time being a 2 point win back in 2010 at Perth. 

This will also be a big test for South’s with current injuries to Superstars Greg Inglis & John Sutton and coming off an away loss to North Qld last round while Melbourne awoke from there form slump last week smashing 6th placed Canberra 68-4 and handing them their 1st loss at home this season. 

If South’s have any chance in this game the Burgess boys need to be at their Destructive best. 

Can’t see anything but a Melbourne victory here they have a knack of getting the top teams at the right time for themselves and this would be the best time to run into South Sydney as they have been the best side this season until last week. 

Best Bets
Melbourne -8.5 @1.90 

Value Bets
Melbourne 13+ $2.20

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Brisbane v St George-Illawarra
Brisbane host St George in Brisbane’s 1st and quite possibly last day game in 2013 as they try to keep their very faint finals chance alive, the Dragons on the other hand are already planning for 2014. 

Brisbane has a great recent record against the Dragons having won 7 of their last 9 matches with the Dragons last win at suncorp being back in 2010 during the Bennett era.

Brisbane have never been out finals contention this early with 5 rounds left in the competition having only missed the finals once in their  last 21 seasons and that wasn’t decided till the final round in 2010. 

Brisbane will be up for this game having more to play for and being undefeated since Anthony Griffin moved Ben Hunt to halfback and skipper Sam Thaiday back to his preferred position in the 2nd row, the only real chance for the Dragons is superstar fullback Josh Dugan if Brisbane can devise a game plan to keep his impact to a bare minimum than it should be nothing short of Brisbane Victory. 

Best Bet
Brisbane 1-12 @ $3.10

Value Bets
Look at Justin Hodges $2.30 to score a try (1st try $12) & Sam Thaiday $4.50 (1st try $26) to lead from the front as Brisbane will be celebrating indigenous round!

The Multi

I think this week will be a very big for all the home teams with at least 6 if not all 8 scoring victories. 

The Multi I have Chosen is
Melbourne -8.5
Brisbane
Sydney
Sharks
Manly 

Total = $6.30

Avoid Games

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Penrith v North QLD
This game is the game I’d advise to stay clear of this weekend, the cowboys finally lived up to their top 4 expectations last week dismantling ladder leaders South Sydney 30-12. The problem is its round 22 and the Cowboys find themselves 13th on the ladder and having to win every game from here to have any chance of making the top 8. 

Meanwhile Penrith are a team that was expected to finish in the bottom 4 and have been exceeding expectations this season by winning 5 from 7 between rounds 10 & 19 with their young team showing they have a bright future ahead. I get the feeling the wheels have fallen off out at Penrith after having being belted by the Knights, Sharks & Roosters in last 3 weeks through leaking over 110 points in that time, the poor panthers look like they are out of puff and waiting for 2014. 

In a normal world you would look at the rosters and expectations of both sides and tip the Cowboys 13+ but it has been far from normal season for these clubs and I advise you keep your cash in your wallets for this game.

 
 
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Newcastle Knights Vs Brisbane Broncos 
The Broncos slim finals hopes perhaps rest on two encounters with the Newcastle Knights in the next five weeks. With matches against the dragons, eels and panthers in between if the broncos can take a valuable four points against the Knights they could still feature in September. The knight’s position on the ladder is very much reflective of their season. Strong performances in putting away bottom table sides however every time they have come against a top tier side heavy defeat has resulted.

The knights concern tonight is their weak forward pack without Snowden and Mason they look small upfront and could be vulnerable against a mobile broncos pack. The movement of Sam Thaiday to the back row is a long overdue move and one that gives them more options in attack out wide other than pass to Hodges move.

Wayne Bennett has a terrible record coaching against his former clubs and against the Broncos last year the Knights conceded two 13+ losses. 

Best bet
Broncos 1-12 $3.65
into the under total score 38.5 $1.90

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Gold Coast Titans vs West Tigers
Four straight defeats and the Titans wagon has well and truly
collapsed. After a promising start to the season the injury to Jamal Idris has really cruelled the Gold Coast and they seem lack of creative options to put points on the board. Add to this the loss of Albert Kelly and William Zillman the Gold Coast line up looks poor this week. Their opponents have conceded they
are out of running this season and are starting to blood some exciting youngsters with David Nofoaluma and Tim Simona looking like future stars. 
 
The Tigers have moved Braith Anasta back to his rightful place on the bench and will start with Curtis Sironen which is enough to say they can win this clash. Ashley Harrison will play 5/8 and with a rookie centre and error prone back three the Tigers will get their chances here. Expect a high scoring contest with both sides leading the competition for missed tackles in season 2013. 

Best Bet
Tigers to win $2.40
Total points over 45.5 @ $1/90

THe Multi

Broncos to win
Tigers/Gold Coast OVER
Warriors to win
Manly to win

Total = $6.80
 
 

The Games

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West Tigers vs New Zealand Warriors
A drama filled week has occurred for the Tigers off the field with Benji Marshall seemingly wanting out of the club. Benji meanwhile is at least 3 years past his best and hasn't shown enough recently to warrant a big contract. Both Benji and his Tigers have struggle throughout 2013 and they run into a Warriors side at the wrong time of the year.

Ever since the Warriors were belted by the Panthers they have turned their form around remarkably and look set to be apart of the finals this year if this trend continues. Despite playing in Australia the Warriors look too classy for the Tigers here, The news of Benji's departure could make the Tigers perform here or just throw the towel in but regardless the Warriors are one of few teams in the NRL playing at a high level and we have to stick with them here

Best Bets
Warriors Win @ $1.60

Value Bets
Warriors 13+ @ $2.85
1st Tryscorer & 80 Minute margin - Konrad Hurrell [NZL] & New Zealand 13+ @ $20

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Souths Sydney vs St George
Souths take on the Dragons which could turn into a bloodbath despite Souths now being without Inglis for the next four to eight weeks. Reynolds will be primed for a for massive game to show the New South Wales selectors what they missed by not picking him this year for state of origin.

The Dragons meanwhile have been struggling of late and the lack of creativity in the side has to be extremely disappointing for their fans. Watching the Dragons stand around and play the old... throw the ball to Dugan and hope that something happens makes it easy for teams to defend against them.

Take the Bunnies here as we have been saying when poor attacking teams play, just ask yourself the question "Will the Dragons keep Souths under 14 points?" as this is their only chance to win and the answer is clearly no.

Best Bet
Souths 13+ $1.65

Value Bets
Time of first try - Under 8 minutes @ $2.10
First try scorer and 80 minute margin - Dylan Walker [SOU] & South Sydney 13+

The mUlti

Warriors Win
Souths 13+
Canberra 13+
Manly Win

Total = $4.50

No bet games

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Sydney Roosters vs Cronulla Sharks
Roosters start $1.28 favourites against a Sharks outfit that is suffering a few key injuries with Lewis, Gallen and Graham out. Regardless history says when a team that has a mass representation at origin level and those players return to back to club level after a losing series, they take a while to return to their best form.


Avoid this game out all costs, Carney will be out to beat the team that let him go and it should go down to the wire.